Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee · 07/09, 18:30
Prediction: Filip Apltauer vs Oren Ezerzer
Team pages: Filip Apltauer
Prediction summary
Winner
Filip Apltauer
Oren Ezerzer
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Apltauer
5-5 (W-L)
Oren Ezerzer
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Apltauer 1545 · Oren Ezerzer 1420
| Filip Apltauer | Oren Ezerzer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Apltauer (rating 1545 vs 1420).
- Filip Apltauer is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Filip Apltauer makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Filip Apltauer | Oren Ezerzer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.8 | 8.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 8.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Apltauer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Ian Mayew UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Stewart Aronson UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 11/08 | Tygen Goldammer UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Jacob Lee UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Kai-Luca Ampaw UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Cooper Han UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Nikola Parichkov UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Aryan Badlani UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Oren Ezerzer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Andreas Scott UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/12 | William Nolan UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/12 | Lucca C Pignaton UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/12 | Erik Schiessl UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/12 | Mohammad Alkotop UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Stijn Paardekooper ITF M15 Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Youcef Rihane UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Henry Jefferson UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Agassi Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Apltauer vs Oren Ezerzer?
Our model gives 77% to Filip Apltauer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.