Tennis · W15 Fiano Romano · 05/09, 11:00

Prediction: Noemi Maines vs Agnese Gentili

Team pages: Noemi Maines · Agnese Gentili

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Noemi Maines Agnese Gentili
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Maines 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWWW
Agnese Gentili 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Noemi Maines 1530 · Agnese Gentili 1505
Noemi MainesAgnese Gentili
Our model54%46%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (7.8/match).

Statistics

Noemi MainesAgnese Gentili
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.10.9-1.1
Games (G-P)11.9-12.48.4-8.7
Aces0.60.4
Double faults7.83
1st serve %55.5%53.5%
Break %48.6%59%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Noemi Maines

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Carolina Gasparini
W15 Fiano Romano
2-1 15-13 W
03/09 Eleonora Alvisi
W15 Fiano Romano
2-0 12-8 W
01/09 Maddalena Giordano
W15 Fiano Romano
2-1 18-16 W
11/08 Ilay Yoruk
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Demi Tran
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 5-12 L
25/07 Kristina Novak
W15 Gran Canaria
1-2 15-19 L
24/07 Anna Shkutova
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 13-7 W
23/07 Karolina Kozakova
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 14-10 W
22/07 Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
W15 Gran Canaria
2-1 18-15 W
09/07 Victoria Allen
W35 Don Benito
0-2 2-12 L

Agnese Gentili

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Eva Marie Voracek
W15 Fiano Romano
2-0 12-1 W
03/09 Marta Lombardini
W15 Fiano Romano
2-0 12-7 W
02/09 Sveva Pieroni
W15 Fiano Romano
1-0 7-2 W
31/08 Gaia Mais
W15 Fiano Romano
0-2 6-11 L
28/07 Cristina Elena Tiglea
W15 Rogaska Slatina
0-2 7-12 L
23/07 Patricia Georgiana Goina
W15 Cluj Napoca
0-2 3-12 L
22/07 Alesia Breaz
W15 Cluj Napoca
2-1 15-10 W
22/06 Aneta Laboutkova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Natalija Senic
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/06 Anna-Lena Ebster
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Noemi Maines vs Agnese Gentili?

Our model gives 52% to Noemi Maines, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.