Tennis · W15 Fiano Romano · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Noemi Maines vs Eleonora Alvisi
Team pages: Noemi Maines · Eleonora Alvisi
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi Maines
Eleonora Alvisi
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Maines
5-5 (W-L)
Eleonora Alvisi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi Maines 1518 · Eleonora Alvisi 1466
| Noemi Maines | Eleonora Alvisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noemi Maines (rating 1518 vs 1466).
- Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Noemi Maines | Eleonora Alvisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.3 | 8.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 53.2% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi Maines
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Maddalena Giordano W15 Fiano Romano |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Demi Tran W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Kristina Novak W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Anna Shkutova W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Karolina Kozakova W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Victoria Allen W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ashleigh Harvey W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Noemi Basiletti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Eleonora Alvisi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Federica Bilardo W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Laura Hietaranta W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Verena Meliss W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Shannon Lam W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Miriana Tona W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Yiming Dang WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi Maines vs Eleonora Alvisi?
Our model gives 53% to Eleonora Alvisi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.