Tennis · W15 Fiano Romano · 04/09, 11:00
Prediction: Noemi Maines vs Carolina Gasparini
Team pages: Noemi Maines · Carolina Gasparini
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi Maines
Carolina Gasparini
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Maines
6-4 (W-L)
Carolina Gasparini
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi Maines 1527 · Carolina Gasparini 1485
| Noemi Maines | Carolina Gasparini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noemi Maines (rating 1527 vs 1485).
- Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Noemi Maines | Carolina Gasparini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.9 | 7.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 53.2% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi Maines
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Maddalena Giordano W15 Fiano Romano |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Demi Tran W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Kristina Novak W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Anna Shkutova W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Karolina Kozakova W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Victoria Allen W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ashleigh Harvey W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Carolina Gasparini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Carla Giambelli W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Beatrice Stagno W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Benedetta Ortenzi W15 Fiano Romano |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Galena Krastenova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 27/07 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/12 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 23/12 | Selya Rakki W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/12 | Victoria Pohle W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/11 | Fiona Ganz ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi Maines vs Carolina Gasparini?
Our model gives 63% to Noemi Maines, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.