Tennis · US Open MD · 04/09, 20:00
Prediction: Nouza/Oberleitner vs Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha
Team pages: Nouza/Oberleitner · Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha
Prediction summary
Winner
Nouza/Oberleitner
Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nouza/Oberleitner
6-4 (W-L)
Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nouza/Oberleitner 1539 · Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha 1612
| Nouza/Oberleitner | Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha (rating 1539 vs 1612).
- Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nouza/Oberleitner | Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13.1 | 14-10.1 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 82.7% | 77.9% |
| Break % | 30% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nouza/Oberleitner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Miedler/Polmans ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Ram/Salisbury ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Bhambri/Venus ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 18/08 | Behar/Romboli Challenger Quebec City MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-20 | L |
| 30/07 | Reymond/Sanchez Challenger San Marino MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-22 | L |
| 29/07 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger San Marino MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Frantzen/Haase ATP Kitzbuhel MD · Clay |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 14/07 | Dietrich/Stricker ATP Gstaad MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Cash/Glasspool Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Quebec City MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Kittay/Stalder Challenger Quebec City MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Cash/Stevens Challenger Brownsburg MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Rai/Watt Challenger Brownsburg MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Brownsburg MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Andre/Landau Challenger Brownsburg MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Ilagan/Poling Challenger Lexington MD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 08/08 | Ho/Liutarevich Challenger Lexington MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 06/08 | Puttergill/Sheehy Challenger Lexington MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Behar/Paris Challenger Lexington MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nouza/Oberleitner vs Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha?
Our model gives 58% to Nouza/Oberleitner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.