Tennis · W15 Fiano Romano · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marta Lombardini vs Agnese Gentili
Team pages: Marta Lombardini · Agnese Gentili
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Lombardini
Agnese Gentili
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Lombardini
7-3 (W-L)
Agnese Gentili
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Lombardini 1542 · Agnese Gentili 1473
| Marta Lombardini | Agnese Gentili | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Lombardini (rating 1542 vs 1473).
Statistics
| Marta Lombardini | Agnese Gentili | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.8 | 8-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 52.9% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Lombardini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Allegra Fiorani W15 Fiano Romano |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/08 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Alexandra Irina Anghel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Beatrice Ricci W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Miriana Tona W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Irina Balus W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Martina Lo Pumo W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Agnese Gentili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Sveva Pieroni W15 Fiano Romano |
1-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Gaia Mais W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 28/07 | Cristina Elena Tiglea W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alesia Breaz W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Natalija Senic W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Anna-Lena Ebster W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Noemi La Cagnina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Elena Korokozidi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Lombardini vs Agnese Gentili?
Our model gives 75% to Marta Lombardini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.