Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 03/09, 14:00
Prediction: Edouard Villoslada vs Dmitry Popko
Team pages: Edouard Villoslada · Dmitry Popko
Prediction summary
Winner
Edouard Villoslada
Dmitry Popko
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Edouard Villoslada
3-7 (W-L)
Dmitry Popko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edouard Villoslada 1453 · Dmitry Popko 1530
| Edouard Villoslada | Dmitry Popko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dmitry Popko (rating 1453 vs 1530).
- Dmitry Popko is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Edouard Villoslada makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Edouard Villoslada | Dmitry Popko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-12 | 12.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edouard Villoslada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Matyas Fuele M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Denia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Slobozia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mircea Mortasifu M15 Slobozia |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Massimo Giunta M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Johan Nikles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Carles Rojas M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Dmitry Popko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Gokberk Saritas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/08 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Cristian Felipe Sanchez Rojas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Mateo Castaneda Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/06 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Jie Cui M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Zac Hamill M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edouard Villoslada vs Dmitry Popko?
Our model gives 78% to Dmitry Popko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.