Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Federica Urgesi vs Oceane Babel
Team pages: Federica Urgesi · Oceane Babel
Prediction summary
Winner
Federica Urgesi
Oceane Babel
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Urgesi
5-5 (W-L)
Oceane Babel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federica Urgesi 1529 · Oceane Babel 1580
| Federica Urgesi | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oceane Babel (rating 1529 vs 1580).
- Note: Federica Urgesi makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Federica Urgesi | Oceane Babel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10 | 13.9-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 57% | 61.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federica Urgesi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Martha Matoula W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Amelie Van Impe W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Barbora Palicova W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Diana Martynov W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Oceane Babel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Mayuka Aikawa W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Rachel Gailis W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Daria Egorova W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Josefina Estevez W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Marjorie Souza W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federica Urgesi vs Oceane Babel?
Our model gives 58% to Federica Urgesi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.