Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 03/09, 16:30

Prediction: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Emma Lene

Team pages: Anastasia Zolotareva · Emma Lene

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Anastasia Zolotareva Emma Lene
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Zolotareva 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWWLWLW
Emma Lene 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anastasia Zolotareva 1506 · Emma Lene 1616
Anastasia ZolotarevaEmma Lene
Our model35%65%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Lene (rating 1506 vs 1616).
  • Emma Lene is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Note: Anastasia Zolotareva makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Anastasia ZolotarevaEmma Lene
Win %50%90%
Win % · Clay 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.7-0.5
Games (G-P)11.5-12.312.1-7
Aces0.51.2
Double faults5.21.6
1st serve %55.9%68.1%
Break %47.5%57.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anastasia Zolotareva

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Amandine Hesse
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-1 18-16 W
27/08 Ariana Geerlings
W75 Bytom
0-2 3-12 L
26/08 Weronika Falkowska
W75 Bytom
2-1 15-15 W
19/08 Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Prague
0-2 9-13 L
18/08 Raluca Georgiana Serban
W50 Prague
2-0 13-8 W
13/08 Merel Hoedt
W50 Hamburg
1-2 16-16 L
12/08 Deborah Chiesa
W50 Hamburg
2-1 15-12 W
05/08 Briana Szabo
W75 Koksijde
0-2 9-13 L
13/06 Ksenia Zaytseva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
07/06 Lidia Encheva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Emma Lene

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Marie Mattel
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-1 13-10 W
29/08 Anastasija Cvetkovic
W35 Verbier
0-2 8-12 L
28/08 Julia Stusek
W35 Verbier
2-0 12-6 W
27/08 Sarina Schnyder
W35 Verbier
2-0 13-7 W
26/08 Astrid Cirotte
W35 Verbier
2-0 12-5 W
31/07 Francesca Curmi
W100 Gran Canaria
1-1 13-11 W
30/07 Laura Hietaranta
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Maria Lourdes Carle
W100 Gran Canaria
2-1 14-10 W
27/07 Laura Mair
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-2 W
26/07 Maria Oliver Sanchez
W100 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anastasia Zolotareva vs Emma Lene?

Our model gives 59% to Emma Lene, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.