Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 05/09, 14:30
Prediction: Clara Burel vs Federica Urgesi
Team pages: Clara Burel · Federica Urgesi
Prediction summary
Winner
Clara Burel
Federica Urgesi
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Burel
7-3 (W-L)
Federica Urgesi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Burel 1540 · Federica Urgesi 1559
| Clara Burel | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Federica Urgesi makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Clara Burel | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.9 | 12.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 64% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Burel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Emma Lene W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Justina Mikulskyte W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Yexin Ma US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Anastasia Abbagnato WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Federica Urgesi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Oceane Babel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Martha Matoula W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Amelie Van Impe W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Barbora Palicova W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Diana Martynov W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Burel vs Federica Urgesi?
Our model gives 64% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.