Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 02/09, 11:00
Prediction: Gokberk Saritas vs Dmitry Popko
Team pages: Gokberk Saritas · Dmitry Popko
Prediction summary
Winner
Gokberk Saritas
Dmitry Popko
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gokberk Saritas
1-9 (W-L)
Dmitry Popko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gokberk Saritas 1420 · Dmitry Popko 1523
| Gokberk Saritas | Dmitry Popko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 5% | 95% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dmitry Popko (rating 1420 vs 1523).
- Dmitry Popko is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gokberk Saritas | Dmitry Popko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.7 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.8-10.9 | 13.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 25.2% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gokberk Saritas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Prathinav Chunduru M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Egor Khotchenkov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Millen Hurrion M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Sacha Grandvincent M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/03 | Jan Kupcic M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 24/02 | Andrey Chepelev M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Andrey Chepelev M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Dmitry Popko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/08 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Cristian Felipe Sanchez Rojas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Mateo Castaneda Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/06 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Jie Cui M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Zac Hamill M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Karl Poling M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gokberk Saritas vs Dmitry Popko?
Our model gives 81% to Dmitry Popko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.