Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 02/09, 10:30
Prediction: Edouard Villoslada vs Mikhail Khodorchenko
Team pages: Edouard Villoslada · Mikhail Khodorchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Edouard Villoslada
Mikhail Khodorchenko
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Edouard Villoslada
3-7 (W-L)
Mikhail Khodorchenko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edouard Villoslada 1430 · Mikhail Khodorchenko 1509
| Edouard Villoslada | Mikhail Khodorchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikhail Khodorchenko (rating 1430 vs 1509).
- Mikhail Khodorchenko is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Edouard Villoslada makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Edouard Villoslada | Mikhail Khodorchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-12.3 | 10.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edouard Villoslada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Matyas Fuele M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Denia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Slobozia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mircea Mortasifu M15 Slobozia |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Massimo Giunta M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Johan Nikles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Carles Rojas M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/05 | Finn Murgett M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Mikhail Khodorchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Filip Pavic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksa Oparnica M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Aleksandre Shvangiradze M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Alan Aiukhanov M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 27/05 | Alan Bojarski M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/05 | Davit Zogranian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Hitesh Chauhan M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Omar Morsy M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edouard Villoslada vs Mikhail Khodorchenko?
Our model gives 52% to Edouard Villoslada, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.