Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Chloe Paquet vs Valeriya Strakhova
Team pages: Chloe Paquet · Valeriya Strakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Chloe Paquet
Valeriya Strakhova
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Chloe Paquet
5-5 (W-L)
Valeriya Strakhova
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Chloe Paquet
2–0
Valeriya Strakhova
(2 last)
- 19 Jul2-1 16-11W
- 31 Oct2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chloe Paquet 1454 · Valeriya Strakhova 1554
| Chloe Paquet | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valeriya Strakhova (rating 1454 vs 1554).
- Valeriya Strakhova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Chloe Paquet 2–0 Valeriya Strakhova (2).
- Note: Chloe Paquet makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Chloe Paquet | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12.1 | 12.9-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Chloe Paquet 2 – 0 Valeriya Strakhova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chloe Paquet 2–0 Valeriya Strakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/26 WTA Hamburg | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 31/10/24 WTA Santa Cruz | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chloe Paquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Ariana Geerlings W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Valeriya Strakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Seda Baslilar W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Luisa Hrda W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Lara Schmidt W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Lucie Havlickova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Tereza Krejcova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Anna Dvorackova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Valentina Steiner W75 Leipzig |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Katerina Mandelikova W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chloe Paquet vs Valeriya Strakhova?
Our model gives 54% to Chloe Paquet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.