Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 02/09, 10:00

Prediction: Sarah Van Emst vs Clara Burel

Team pages: Sarah Van Emst · Clara Burel

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Sarah Van Emst Clara Burel
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Van Emst 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWWLLLW
Clara Burel 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sarah Van Emst 1508 · Clara Burel 1497
Sarah Van EmstClara Burel
Our model52%48%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Sarah Van Emst makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Sarah Van EmstClara Burel
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10.1-10.511.5-9.8
Aces0.71.4
Double faults4.13.2
1st serve %62.3%65.3%
Break %55.5%46.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sarah Van Emst

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Salma Djoubri
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 12-7 W
02/08 Tilwith Di Girolami
W75 Koksijde
0-2 7-12 L
01/08 Jule Niemeier
W50 Knokke-Heist
0-2 2-12 L
31/07 Margaux Maquet
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-1 14-13 W
30/07 Anouck Vrancken Peeters
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Maria Martinez Vaquero
W50 Knokke-Heist
2-0 12-8 W
08/07 Arantxa Rus
W75 The Hague
0-2 7-12 L
01/07 Eva Marie Voracek
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
30/06 Lavinia Tanasie
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 16-8 W
16/06 Camilla Zanolini
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Clara Burel

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Qinwen Zheng
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
24/08 Yexin Ma
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/07 Alevtina Ibragimova
WTA Palermo · Clay
1-2 16-16 L
21/07 Anastasia Abbagnato
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/07 Oleksandra Oliynykova
WTA Iasi · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
15/07 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
13/07 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
09/07 Alicia Herrero Linana
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
07/07 Petra Marcinko
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 18-9 W
17/06 Despina Papamichail
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-1 3-6 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sarah Van Emst vs Clara Burel?

Our model gives 67% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.