Tennis · W15 Cap d'Agde · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Kseniia Ruchkina vs Marine Szostak
Team pages: Marine Szostak
Prediction summary
Winner
Kseniia Ruchkina
Marine Szostak
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kseniia Ruchkina
6-4 (W-L)
Marine Szostak
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kseniia Ruchkina 1526 · Marine Szostak 1498
| Kseniia Ruchkina | Marine Szostak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kseniia Ruchkina makes many double faults (6.1/match).
- Note: Marine Szostak makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Kseniia Ruchkina | Marine Szostak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-7.9 | 10.8-11 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 57% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kseniia Ruchkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12 | Jana Fett ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/11 | Nicole Gadient ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/11 | Deborah Chiesa ITF W15 Solarino |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/11 | Angelica Sara ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Fiona Ganz ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Maria Toma ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Aurora Nosei ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Alessandra Fiorillo ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Ophelie Boullay W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Diana Marcinkevica W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Marine Szostak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Sophie Luescher W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Yushan Shao W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mathilde Lollia W35 Nice |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alice Iozzi W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Esma-Nur Dodooglu W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/06 | Aysegul Mert W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Shannon Lam W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Yleymi Lugiana Muelle Valdez W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/05 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/05 | Nadia Podoroska W15 Madrid |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kseniia Ruchkina vs Marine Szostak?
Our model gives 56% to Kseniia Ruchkina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.