Tennis · W15 Cap d'Agde · 02/09, 14:00
Prediction: Anna-Lena Ebster vs Chiara Fornasieri
Team pages: Anna-Lena Ebster · Chiara Fornasieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna-Lena Ebster
Chiara Fornasieri
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Anna-Lena Ebster
5-5 (W-L)
Chiara Fornasieri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna-Lena Ebster 1451 · Chiara Fornasieri 1536
| Anna-Lena Ebster | Chiara Fornasieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chiara Fornasieri (rating 1451 vs 1536).
- Chiara Fornasieri is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Anna-Lena Ebster makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Anna-Lena Ebster | Chiara Fornasieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.9 | 10.1-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 57.2% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna-Lena Ebster
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Manon Favier W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Jenny Lim W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Anina Lanz W35 Verbier Qual |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Ines Delaloye W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 06/08 | Klara Veldman W15 Hameenlinna |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Milla Kotamaeki W15 Hameenlinna |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Ioana Maria Sandru W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Milana Maslenkova W15 Krsko |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Agnese Gentili W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Chiara Fornasieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Anna Orlando Pellicero W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Oriana Gniewkowska W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/06 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Eva Maria Ionescu W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Laura Brunkel W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna-Lena Ebster vs Chiara Fornasieri?
Our model gives 76% to Chiara Fornasieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.