Tennis · W15 Cap d'Agde · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Michaela Bayerlova vs Chiara Fornasieri
Team pages: Michaela Bayerlova · Chiara Fornasieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Michaela Bayerlova
Chiara Fornasieri
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Michaela Bayerlova
5-5 (W-L)
Chiara Fornasieri
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michaela Bayerlova 1509 · Chiara Fornasieri 1543
| Michaela Bayerlova | Chiara Fornasieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Michaela Bayerlova | Chiara Fornasieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.1 | 11.1-7.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 61.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michaela Bayerlova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Anais Gabriel W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Olga Danilova W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Christina Bednarczyk W35 Verbier Qual |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Johanna Silva W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Mara Guth W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Ida Wobker W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Anna Kmiecik W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Chiara Fornasieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Anna Orlando Pellicero W15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Oriana Gniewkowska W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/06 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Eva Maria Ionescu W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Laura Brunkel W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michaela Bayerlova vs Chiara Fornasieri?
Our model gives 52% to Michaela Bayerlova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.