Tennis · W15 Fiano Romano · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Marta Lombardini vs Allegra Fiorani
Team pages: Marta Lombardini
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Lombardini
Allegra Fiorani
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Lombardini
6-4 (W-L)
Allegra Fiorani
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Lombardini 1535 · Allegra Fiorani 1449
| Marta Lombardini | Allegra Fiorani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Lombardini (rating 1535 vs 1449).
- Note: Allegra Fiorani makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Marta Lombardini | Allegra Fiorani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10 | 5.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 46.7% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Lombardini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Alexandra Irina Anghel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Beatrice Ricci W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Miriana Tona W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Irina Balus W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Martina Lo Pumo W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Federica Urgesi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Allegra Fiorani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Zoe Ulrich W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Serena Paris W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Warda Ait El Bachir W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Alice Soulie W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Elena Grekul W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Sara Pantelic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/04 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Mariya Yemshanova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Brenda Fruhvirtova ITF W15 Viserba · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Aurora Urso ITF W15 Viserba · Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Lombardini vs Allegra Fiorani?
Our model gives 80% to Marta Lombardini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.