Tennis · W15 Fiano Romano · 01/09, 11:30

Prediction: Beatrice Stagno vs Carolina Gasparini

Team pages: Beatrice Stagno · Carolina Gasparini

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Beatrice Stagno Carolina Gasparini
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Beatrice Stagno 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLLL
Carolina Gasparini 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beatrice Stagno 1448 · Carolina Gasparini 1443
Beatrice StagnoCarolina Gasparini
Our model51%49%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Beatrice StagnoCarolina Gasparini
Win %30%30%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.40.7-1.5
Games (G-P)9-116.8-9.9
Aces0.20.3
Double faults3.33.1
1st serve %55.3%53.4%
Break %58%41.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beatrice Stagno

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Sophia Biolay
W35 Trieste
0-2 2-12 L
17/08 Ingrid Vojcinakova
W35 Krakow
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Vicky Van De Peer
W15 Hameenlinna
0-2 10-13 L
31/07 Elza Tomase
W15 Savitaipale
0-2 7-12 L
30/07 Zi Ying Ruan
W15 Savitaipale
2-0 12-5 W
29/07 Hanna Vanni
W15 Savitaipale
2-0 13-8 W
23/07 Federica Sacco
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
21/07 Josephine Kunz
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
27/05 Viola Bedini
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-16 L
20/11 Aleksandra Pozarenko
ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Carolina Gasparini

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Benedetta Ortenzi
W15 Fiano Romano
2-1 9-9 W
03/08 Galena Krastenova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 8-10 L
27/07 Charlotte Van Zonneveld
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Krystyna Pochtovyk
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/12 Sapfo Sakellaridi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-11 L
23/12 Selya Rakki
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/12 Victoria Pohle
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
13/11 Fiona Ganz
ITF W15 Solarino
0-2 4-12 L
11/11 Denise Valente
ITF W15 Solarino
2-0 12-4 W
29/10 Angelica Sara
ITF W15 Solarino
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beatrice Stagno vs Carolina Gasparini?

Our model gives 57% to Beatrice Stagno, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.