Tennis · W15 Fiano Romano · 01/09, 10:00
Prediction: Noemi Maines vs Maddalena Giordano
Team pages: Noemi Maines · Maddalena Giordano
Prediction summary
Winner
Noemi Maines
Maddalena Giordano
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Maines
4-6 (W-L)
Maddalena Giordano
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi Maines 1510 · Maddalena Giordano 1402
| Noemi Maines | Maddalena Giordano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noemi Maines (rating 1510 vs 1402).
- Noemi Maines is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Noemi Maines | Maddalena Giordano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.3 | 7.3-10.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 53% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi Maines
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Demi Tran W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Kristina Novak W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Anna Shkutova W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Karolina Kozakova W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Victoria Allen W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ashleigh Harvey W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Noemi Basiletti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Laetitia Pulchartova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
Maddalena Giordano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Cristina Pescucci W35 Verbier Qual |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Berta Passola W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Anastasiya Kuparev W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Maria Torre Moral W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Georgina Hays W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Carlota Vila Salles W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Dominika Podhajecka W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi Maines vs Maddalena Giordano?
Our model gives 75% to Noemi Maines, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.