Tennis · M15 Szczawno · 01/09, 09:30

Prediction: Patrik Homola vs Juliusz Bienkiewicz

Team pages: Patrik Homola · Juliusz Bienkiewicz

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Patrik Homola Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Patrik Homola 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWLLWW
Juliusz Bienkiewicz 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Patrik Homola 1468 · Juliusz Bienkiewicz 1526
Patrik HomolaJuliusz Bienkiewicz
Our model42%58%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juliusz Bienkiewicz (rating 1468 vs 1526).

Statistics

Patrik HomolaJuliusz Bienkiewicz
Win %40%60%
Win % · Carpet 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.4-1.1
Games (G-P)8.9-10.213.1-11.6
Aces2.23.3
Double faults2.23.8
1st serve %63.8%64.5%
Break %35.2%56.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Patrik Homola

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Tim Vaisman
M15 Vienna
1-2 15-15 L
24/08 Andriy Poritskyy
M15 Vienna
2-0 13-10 W
18/08 Nikola Keremedchiev
M15 Krakow
0-2 6-12 L
22/07 Bor Artnak
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 7-12 L
21/07 Ivan Biletic
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 13-6 W
08/07 Linus Lagerbohm
M15 Lodz
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Kevin Pabisiak
M15 Lodz
2-0 13-6 W
24/06 Stefan Seifert
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Jim Hendrikx
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-1 9-9 W
10/06 Imanol Lopez Morillo
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 2-8 L

Juliusz Bienkiewicz

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Michael Agwi
M15 Krakow
0-2 9-13 L
18/08 Evangelos Kypriotis
M15 Krakow
2-0 12-8 W
05/08 Wojciech Marek
M15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 14-16 L
04/08 Oliwier Sterniczuk
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 13-9 W
30/03 Nicola Ion
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
1-2 13-18 L
07/03 James McGloughlin
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 12-8 W
07/03 Aaron Gil Garcia
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 18-12 W
06/03 Felix Einig
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 18-11 W
05/03 Sam Bakker
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 18-9 W
03/03 Twan Van Zijl
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Patrik Homola vs Juliusz Bienkiewicz?

Our model gives 54% to Juliusz Bienkiewicz, using surface Elo on carpet.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (carpet) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.