Tennis · M15 Szczawno · 02/09, 10:30

Prediction: Juliusz Bienkiewicz vs Peetu Pohjola

Team pages: Juliusz Bienkiewicz · Peetu Pohjola

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Juliusz Bienkiewicz Peetu Pohjola
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Juliusz Bienkiewicz 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWLL
Peetu Pohjola 3-7 (W-L)
WWWLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juliusz Bienkiewicz 1516 · Peetu Pohjola 1519
Juliusz BienkiewiczPeetu Pohjola
Our model50%50%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Juliusz BienkiewiczPeetu Pohjola
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)13.9-11.59.5-9.8
Aces3.24
Double faults3.81.9
1st serve %65.6%62.6%
Break %54%43.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juliusz Bienkiewicz

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Patrik Homola
M15 Szczawno
1-2 12-11 L
19/08 Michael Agwi
M15 Krakow
0-2 9-13 L
18/08 Evangelos Kypriotis
M15 Krakow
2-0 12-8 W
05/08 Wojciech Marek
M15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 14-16 L
04/08 Oliwier Sterniczuk
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-0 13-9 W
30/03 Nicola Ion
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
1-2 13-18 L
07/03 James McGloughlin
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-0 12-8 W
07/03 Aaron Gil Garcia
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 18-12 W
06/03 Felix Einig
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 18-11 W
05/03 Sam Bakker
UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet
2-1 18-9 W

Peetu Pohjola

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Przemyslaw Michocki
M25 Poznan
0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Louis Wessels
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
19/07 Federico Arnaboldi
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-1 13-12 W
15/07 Sven Corbinais
M15 Uslar
0-2 4-12 L
14/07 Lars Wagenaar
M15 Uslar
2-1 11-7 W
03/06 Francesco Ferrari
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
28/10 Botond Nagy
ITF M15 Szabolcsveresmart · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
19/10 Sam Ryan Ziegann
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
17/10 Tomislav Jotovski
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
15/10 Luka Vuglar
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juliusz Bienkiewicz vs Peetu Pohjola?

Our model gives 60% to Juliusz Bienkiewicz, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.