Tennis · M15 Szczawno · 04/09, 10:30
Prediction: Jan Chlodnicki vs Linus Lagerbohm
Team pages: Jan Chlodnicki · Linus Lagerbohm
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Chlodnicki
Linus Lagerbohm
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Chlodnicki
5-5 (W-L)
Linus Lagerbohm
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Chlodnicki 1550 · Linus Lagerbohm 1579
| Jan Chlodnicki | Linus Lagerbohm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jan Chlodnicki | Linus Lagerbohm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.4 | 13.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Chlodnicki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Filip Kosinski M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Maciej Matuszczyk M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Jan Wygona M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Bruno Kokot M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Jakub Solarski M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Peter Fajta M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alan Bojarski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/03 | Norbert Marosik UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/03 | James McGloughlin UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Linus Lagerbohm
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Peetu Pohjola M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Noah Thurner M15 Szczawno |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | John Sperle M15 Trier |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mikolaj Migdalski M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/07 | Leyton Rivera M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Chlodnicki vs Linus Lagerbohm?
Our model gives 65% to Linus Lagerbohm, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.