Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Alessandro Bellifemine vs Radovan Michalik
Team pages: Alessandro Bellifemine · Radovan Michalik
Prediction summary
Winner
Alessandro Bellifemine
Radovan Michalik
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandro Bellifemine
6-4 (W-L)
Radovan Michalik
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessandro Bellifemine 1520 · Radovan Michalik 1389
| Alessandro Bellifemine | Radovan Michalik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alessandro Bellifemine (rating 1520 vs 1389).
- Alessandro Bellifemine is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alessandro Bellifemine | Radovan Michalik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.5 | 7.8-12 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandro Bellifemine
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Samuil Chestovaliev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Parth Aggarwal M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Artur Kukasian M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Nemanja Sapic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Radovan Michalik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Andrea Paolini M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Peter Makk M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Adam Majchrzak M25 Koszalin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Tomas Lanik M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Stevan Popovic M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Gabor Hornung M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Corentin Denolly M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandro Bellifemine vs Radovan Michalik?
Our model gives 71% to Alessandro Bellifemine, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.