Tennis · W15 Cap d'Agde · 01/09, 09:30
Prediction: Sophie Luescher vs Marine Szostak
Team pages: Sophie Luescher
Prediction summary
Winner
Sophie Luescher
Marine Szostak
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sophie Luescher
6-4 (W-L)
Marine Szostak
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophie Luescher 1537 · Marine Szostak 1501
| Sophie Luescher | Marine Szostak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sophie Luescher makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Marine Szostak makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Sophie Luescher | Marine Szostak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.4 | 10.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophie Luescher
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier Qual |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Dimitra Pavlou W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Noemi La Cagnina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Verica Zrnic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Dunja Maric W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Stela Dzimovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Emily Seibold W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ashley Lahey W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Danique Havermans W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Marine Szostak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Yushan Shao W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mathilde Lollia W35 Nice |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alice Iozzi W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Esma-Nur Dodooglu W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/06 | Aysegul Mert W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Shannon Lam W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Yleymi Lugiana Muelle Valdez W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/05 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/05 | Nadia Podoroska W15 Madrid |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/05 | Shannon Lam W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophie Luescher vs Marine Szostak?
Our model gives 52% to Marine Szostak, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.