Tennis · M15 Monastir · 02/09, 10:30
Prediction: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Nazim Makhlouf
Team pages: Cesar Bouchelaghem · Nazim Makhlouf
Prediction summary
Winner
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Nazim Makhlouf
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Bouchelaghem
8-2 (W-L)
Nazim Makhlouf
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cesar Bouchelaghem
1–0
Nazim Makhlouf
(1 last)
- 22 Oct2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1534 · Nazim Makhlouf 1451
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Nazim Makhlouf | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesar Bouchelaghem (rating 1534 vs 1451).
- Cesar Bouchelaghem is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Cesar Bouchelaghem 1–0 Nazim Makhlouf (1).
Statistics
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Nazim Makhlouf | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10 | 9.3-12.6 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1 – 0 Nazim Makhlouf (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1–0 Nazim Makhlouf
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/25 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesar Bouchelaghem
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Hlib Bohach Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 04/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Nazim Makhlouf
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 12/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Massimo Pizzigoni M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Flynn Thomas M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Zach Stephens M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Yassine Smiej M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Nazim Makhlouf?
Our model gives 74% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.