Tennis · W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Summer Yardley vs Matylda Burylo
Team pages: Summer Yardley · Matylda Burylo
Prediction summary
Winner
Summer Yardley
Matylda Burylo
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Summer Yardley
3-7 (W-L)
Matylda Burylo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Summer Yardley 1428 · Matylda Burylo 1506
| Summer Yardley | Matylda Burylo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matylda Burylo (rating 1428 vs 1506).
- Note: Summer Yardley makes many double faults (8.6/match).
Statistics
| Summer Yardley | Matylda Burylo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-12.3 | 9.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 8.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Summer Yardley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Estella Jaeger UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Malkia Ngounoue UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Leticia Romanova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Swasthika Arunkumar W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Weronika Ewald W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Coco Bosman W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Yelizaveta Trush W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Georgiana Mititelu W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Matylda Burylo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Madelief Hageman W15 Hameenlinna |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tea Nikcevic W15 Hameenlinna |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Savitaipale |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Merel Hoedt W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Phillippa Preugschat W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Sofia Maria Barbulescu W15 Galati · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Valentina Steiner W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Emina Honic W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Caroline Hermanns W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Isabel Petri Bere W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Summer Yardley vs Matylda Burylo?
Our model gives 74% to Matylda Burylo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.