Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 01/09, 08:00
Prediction: Aradhya Kshitij vs Alberto Morolli
Team pages: Alberto Morolli
Prediction summary
Winner
Aradhya Kshitij
Alberto Morolli
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aradhya Kshitij
6-4 (W-L)
Alberto Morolli
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aradhya Kshitij 1563 · Alberto Morolli 1477
| Aradhya Kshitij | Alberto Morolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aradhya Kshitij (rating 1563 vs 1477).
- Aradhya Kshitij is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aradhya Kshitij | Alberto Morolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9 | 6.9-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 22.3% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aradhya Kshitij
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Yash Chaurasia UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Debasis Sahoo UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/07 | Aleksandre Shvangiradze UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Ronin Lotlikar UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Dev Javia UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Kaushik Arunkumar UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Alastair Gray Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/05 | Moerani Bouzige Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/05 | Ronit Karki Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alberto Morolli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Yassine Smiej M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Rohan Mehra M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Akshaj Subramanian M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/07 | Davide Tortora M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Adriano Botta M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabrielius Guzauskas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Gabriel Sardo M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Nicola Senn M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Philip Weber M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aradhya Kshitij vs Alberto Morolli?
Our model gives 55% to Aradhya Kshitij, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.