Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Laura Hietaranta vs Lucie Nguyen Tan
Team pages: Laura Hietaranta · Lucie Nguyen Tan
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Hietaranta
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Hietaranta
5-5 (W-L)
Lucie Nguyen Tan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Hietaranta 1548 · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1493
| Laura Hietaranta | Lucie Nguyen Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Hietaranta (rating 1548 vs 1493).
- Note: Laura Hietaranta makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Laura Hietaranta | Lucie Nguyen Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.8 | 9.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.6% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Hietaranta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Mina Hodzic W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Viktoria Veleva W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W15 Hameenlinna |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Rachel Gailis W15 Hameenlinna |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Klara Veldman W15 Hameenlinna |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Hameenlinna |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Klara Blazkova W15 Hameenlinna |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Demi Tran W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Maria Andrienko W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Yana Morderger WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Zoe Ulrich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Hietaranta vs Lucie Nguyen Tan?
Our model gives 62% to Laura Hietaranta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.