Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 31/08, 11:00
Prediction: Mathilde Lollia vs Liv Boulard
Team pages: Mathilde Lollia · Liv Boulard
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathilde Lollia
Liv Boulard
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mathilde Lollia
7-3 (W-L)
Liv Boulard
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mathilde Lollia
1–0
Liv Boulard
(1 last)
- 06 Oct2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathilde Lollia 1501 · Liv Boulard 1526
| Mathilde Lollia | Liv Boulard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mathilde Lollia 1–0 Liv Boulard (1).
- Note: Mathilde Lollia makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Liv Boulard makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Mathilde Lollia | Liv Boulard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.8 | 11.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Mathilde Lollia 1 – 0 Liv Boulard (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mathilde Lollia 1–0 Liv Boulard
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/24 ITF W35 Joue-Les-Tours | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathilde Lollia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Polina Skliar W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Laetitia Pulchartova W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Christina Bednarczyk W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Julia Riera W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Marine Szostak W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Liv Boulard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Georgina Hays W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Valentina Ryser W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Cristina Pescucci W35 Verbier |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Emma Lene W15 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Kiara Nina Kucikova W15 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Gina Marie Dittmann W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Carlota Corte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathilde Lollia vs Liv Boulard?
Our model gives 53% to Mathilde Lollia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.