Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 30/08, 13:00
Prediction: Salma Djoubri vs Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Team pages: Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Prediction summary
Winner
Salma Djoubri
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Salma Djoubri
3-7 (W-L)
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salma Djoubri 1503 · Aleksandra Iankovskaia 1463
| Salma Djoubri | Aleksandra Iankovskaia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salma Djoubri (rating 1503 vs 1463).
- Note: Salma Djoubri makes many double faults (5.7/match).
- Note: Aleksandra Iankovskaia makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Salma Djoubri | Aleksandra Iankovskaia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.9 | 7.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salma Djoubri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Margaux Maquet W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Lea Fojcik W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Jenny Lim W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Laetitia Sarrazin W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Nika Hurkacz W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Emma Kamper W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Vivien Sandberg W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Mia Slama W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/05 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Aleksandra Iankovskaia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Elyse Tse W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Sofia Camila Rojas W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 02/08 | Yuliya Hatouka W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Ylenia Zocco W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Capucine Dournes W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Zoziya Kardava W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Lusia Maria Oprescu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Maria Paredes Perez W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salma Djoubri vs Aleksandra Iankovskaia?
Our model gives 71% to Salma Djoubri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.