Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 29/08, 23:30
Prediction: Kelly Keller vs Kailey Evans
Team pages: Kelly Keller · Kailey Evans
Prediction summary
Winner
Kelly Keller
Kailey Evans
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kelly Keller
5-5 (W-L)
Kailey Evans
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kelly Keller
0–1
Kailey Evans
(1 last)
- 11 Mar1-2 14-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kelly Keller 1538 · Kailey Evans 1577
| Kelly Keller | Kailey Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kelly Keller 0–1 Kailey Evans (1).
- Note: Kelly Keller makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kelly Keller | Kailey Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.5 | 9.8-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 53.4% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Kelly Keller 0 – 1 Kailey Evans (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kelly Keller 0–1 Kailey Evans
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 UTR Pro Newport Beach Women | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kelly Keller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Maria Shmakova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Anna Linn Moll UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Yuyun Chen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Carlota Moreno W35 Florence |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Erika Sema W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Scarlett Nicholson W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Annabelle Xu W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Kate Fakih W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Elena Goodman W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Kailey Evans
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Renee Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Lidia Encheva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Laima Vladson W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Anja Wildgruber W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Arina Kostina W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kelly Keller vs Kailey Evans?
Our model gives 68% to Kailey Evans, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.