Tennis · M15 Pecs · 28/08, 11:30

Prediction: Andrea Paolini vs Ignacio Monzon

Team pages: Andrea Paolini · Ignacio Monzon

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Andrea Paolini Ignacio Monzon
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Paolini 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWL
Ignacio Monzon 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrea Paolini 1567 · Ignacio Monzon 1519
Andrea PaoliniIgnacio Monzon
Our model57%43%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Paolini (rating 1567 vs 1519).

Statistics

Andrea PaoliniIgnacio Monzon
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.3-1
Games (G-P)10.6-7.111.6-10.5
Aces1.10.2
Double faults1.12.3
1st serve %66.4%63.6%
Break %46.3%41.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrea Paolini

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Mate Valkusz
M15 Pecs
2-1 16-12 W
26/08 Radovan Michalik
M15 Pecs
2-0 12-8 W
25/08 Filip Martinovic
M15 Pecs
2-0 12-2 W
19/08 Anas Mazdrashki
M15 Arad
0-2 3-12 L
18/08 Pavel Skvortcov
M15 Arad
2-0 13-9 W
13/08 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Andrei Corneliu Gadoiu
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-2 W
11/08 Yannick Castelnuovo
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-1 W
13/07 Gabriele Vulpitta
M15 Gubbio
1-2 9-9 L
07/07 Sean Daryabeigi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Ignacio Monzon

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Leonardo Angeloni
M15 Pecs
2-0 13-9 W
26/08 Fermin Tenti
M15 Pecs
2-0 13-5 W
21/08 Robert Guna
M15 Arad
0-2 4-12 L
20/08 Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Arad
2-1 15-11 W
13/08 Vlad Cristian Breazu
M15 Targu Jiu
1-2 11-15 L
12/08 Giovanni Ciocca
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Hernan Casanova
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
06/07 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 20-18 W
05/07 Nicolas Hurtado Novoa
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrea Paolini vs Ignacio Monzon?

Our model gives 50% to Andrea Paolini, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.