Tennis · M15 Pecs · 28/08, 10:00

Prediction: Lorenzo Bocchi vs John Sperle

Team pages: Lorenzo Bocchi · John Sperle

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Lorenzo Bocchi John Sperle
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Bocchi 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWLW
John Sperle 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Bocchi 1513 · John Sperle 1508
Lorenzo BocchiJohn Sperle
Our model51%49%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lorenzo BocchiJohn Sperle
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-0.81.3-0.9
Games (G-P)10.1-811.4-9.1
Aces2.80.8
Double faults1.91.7
1st serve %70.7%64.4%
Break %59.6%43.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Bocchi

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Pecs
2-0 12-4 W
17/08 Alex Marti Pujolras
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
16/08 Daniel Salazar
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
11/08 Matthew William Donald
M25 Muttenz
0-2 6-12 L
18/07 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 10-14 L
17/07 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Matic Hribar
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Glib Sekachov
M15 Nova Gorica
1-0 6-3 W
06/07 Gonzalo Villanueva
Challenger Trieste · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
05/07 Lorenzo Berto
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 13-7 W

John Sperle

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Kolos Kincses
M15 Pecs
2-1 18-11 W
26/08 Tomas Lanik
M15 Pecs
2-0 13-5 W
20/08 Rafael Giotis
M15 Lambermont
0-2 10-13 L
19/08 Justas Trainauskas
M15 Lambermont
2-0 12-6 W
12/08 Linus Lagerbohm
M15 Trier
2-0 12-8 W
05/07 Andrey Chepelev
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
28/06 Amit Vales
Challenger Troyes · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
22/06 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/06 Dominik Palan
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/06 Adam Jilly
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Bocchi vs John Sperle?

Our model gives 50% to Lorenzo Bocchi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.