Prediction: Mate Valkusz vs Andrea Paolini
Team pages: Mate Valkusz · Andrea Paolini
Prediction summary
Winner
Mate Valkusz
Andrea Paolini
Estimated games
18.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mate Valkusz
8-2 (W-L)
Andrea Paolini
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mate Valkusz 1583 · Andrea Paolini 1539
| Mate Valkusz | Andrea Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mate Valkusz (rating 1583 vs 1539).
Statistics
| Mate Valkusz | Andrea Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-4.9 | 9.7-7.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 61.6% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mate Valkusz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Kacper Knitter M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Darrshan Suresh M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/06 | Matei Florin Breazu UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Botond Nagy UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Sebastian Harrison UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Milan Markovits UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Darius Florin Pop UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Filip Drab M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/01 | Dusan Obradovic M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Andrea Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Radovan Michalik M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Filip Martinovic M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Arad |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Pavel Skvortcov M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Andrei Corneliu Gadoiu M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | Yannick Castelnuovo M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 07/07 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mate Valkusz vs Andrea Paolini?
Our model gives 72% to Mate Valkusz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.