Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 28/08, 02:00
Prediction: Fabian Marozsan vs James Duckworth
Team pages: Fabian Marozsan · James Duckworth
Prediction summary
Winner
Fabian Marozsan
James Duckworth
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fabian Marozsan
7-3 (W-L)
James Duckworth
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fabian Marozsan 1529 · James Duckworth 1549
| Fabian Marozsan | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Fabian Marozsan dominates on serve: 6 aces and 41.6% break avg.
- Note: James Duckworth makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Fabian Marozsan | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.6 | 13.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 6 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 78.7% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 53% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fabian Marozsan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 6-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Thiago Agustin Tirante Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
James Duckworth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fabian Marozsan vs James Duckworth?
Our model gives 55% to Fabian Marozsan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.