Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 27/08, 02:00
Prediction: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan
Team pages: Martin Damm · Fabian Marozsan
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Damm
Fabian Marozsan
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Damm
5-5 (W-L)
Fabian Marozsan
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Damm 1534 · Fabian Marozsan 1519
| Martin Damm | Fabian Marozsan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Martin Damm makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Martin Damm | Fabian Marozsan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13.1 | 13-12.2 |
| Aces | 11.2 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 25.5 · -1.4
Over 25.5: 40% · 1.83
Under 25.5: 60% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Damm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/07 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Arthur Rinderknech Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Marco Trungelliti Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 27-25 | W |
Fabian Marozsan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 6-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Thiago Agustin Tirante Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Alex Molcan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan?
Our model gives 50% to Martin Damm, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.