Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 28/08, 00:30
Prediction: Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Team pages: Arthur Fery · Aleksandar Kovacevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Fery
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Estimated games
26.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fery
5-5 (W-L)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fery 1560 · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1515
| Arthur Fery | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Fery (rating 1560 vs 1515).
- Arthur Fery is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Aleksandar Kovacevic makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Fery | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.1-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.9-15.7 | 11.9-14 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +4.3
Over 22.5: 77% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 23% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | James Duckworth ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 08/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/07 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-29 | W |
| 02/07 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 30/06 | Damir Dzumhur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Felix Balshaw ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Karen Khachanov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fery vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Our model gives 56% to Arthur Fery, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.