Tennis · W15 Hurghada · 27/08, 09:30
Prediction: Kateryna Diatlova vs Warona Mdlulwa
Team pages: Kateryna Diatlova · Warona Mdlulwa
Prediction summary
Winner
Kateryna Diatlova
Warona Mdlulwa
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kateryna Diatlova
5-5 (W-L)
Warona Mdlulwa
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kateryna Diatlova 1538 · Warona Mdlulwa 1424
| Kateryna Diatlova | Warona Mdlulwa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Diatlova (rating 1538 vs 1424).
- Kateryna Diatlova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Warona Mdlulwa makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Kateryna Diatlova | Warona Mdlulwa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.2-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.4 | 5.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kateryna Diatlova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Hania Abouelsaad W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Charlotte Cora Bruneton W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Marie Mattel W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Ania Hertel W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Ui Su Jeong W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicole Giannini W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Warona Mdlulwa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Selina Atay W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Anet Angelika Koskel W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Camilla Zanolini W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Camilla Zanolini W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Kristina Novak W15 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Katja Wiersholm W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Alyssa Reguer W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Ambar Corbalan Miranda W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Martina Okalova W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kateryna Diatlova vs Warona Mdlulwa?
Our model gives 79% to Kateryna Diatlova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.