Tennis · W15 Hurghada · 02/09, 08:00
Prediction: Polina Kuharenko vs Kateryna Diatlova
Team pages: Polina Kuharenko · Kateryna Diatlova
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kuharenko
Kateryna Diatlova
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kuharenko
3-7 (W-L)
Kateryna Diatlova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kuharenko 1452 · Kateryna Diatlova 1564
| Polina Kuharenko | Kateryna Diatlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Diatlova (rating 1452 vs 1564).
- Kateryna Diatlova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Polina Kuharenko makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kuharenko | Kateryna Diatlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10 | 13.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 51.3% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kuharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Cherry Kim W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Monika Wojcik W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Rikke De Koning W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Inka Wawrzkiewicz UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Daniela Ciobanu UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Annemarie Lazar UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Alina Kornieieva UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Kateryna Diatlova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Emilia Brune W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Warona Mdlulwa W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Hania Abouelsaad W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Charlotte Cora Bruneton W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Marie Mattel W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Ania Hertel W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Ui Su Jeong W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kuharenko vs Kateryna Diatlova?
Our model gives 52% to Kateryna Diatlova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.