Tennis · W15 Hurghada · 01/09, 09:30

Prediction: Ekaterina Khodzhaeva vs Justine Bretnacher

Team pages: Ekaterina Khodzhaeva · Justine Bretnacher

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Ekaterina Khodzhaeva Justine Bretnacher
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Khodzhaeva 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWLWLL
Justine Bretnacher 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ekaterina Khodzhaeva 1472 · Justine Bretnacher 1472
Ekaterina KhodzhaevaJustine Bretnacher
Our model50%50%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Justine Bretnacher makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Ekaterina KhodzhaevaJustine Bretnacher
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (8) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.40.9-1.5
Games (G-P)9.6-9.87.6-11
Aces1.60.2
Double faults3.14.6
1st serve %58.3%53.7%
Break %54.1%33.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekaterina Khodzhaeva

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Sofia Avataneo
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
03/08 Minel Naz Kaynak
W15 Astana
0-2 7-13 L
27/07 Zhanel Rustemova
W15 Astana
1-2 8-9 L
14/05 Ulyana Hrabavets
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-1 2-6 L
13/05 Eva Zabolotnaia
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 17-12 W
06/05 Sara Saad
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 8-11 L
05/05 Satina Tamulynas
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
01/05 Nada Fouad
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 3-11 L
30/04 Timea Gross
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 15-8 W
29/04 Alisa Danilova
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-1 16-14 W

Justine Bretnacher

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Yasmin Ezzat
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
25/08 Saumya Ronde
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 11-8 W
05/08 Klara Veldman
W15 Hameenlinna
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Anet Angelika Koskel
W15 Hameenlinna
2-0 13-7 W
20/07 Katerina Tsygourova
W75 Cordenons
0-2 3-12 L
19/07 Sofia Avataneo
W75 Cordenons
2-1 14-13 W
07/07 Amelie Smejkalova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-11 L
30/06 Sofia Shapatava
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/06 Aspen Schuman
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L
09/06 Ekaterina Kuznetsova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 12-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Khodzhaeva vs Justine Bretnacher?

Our model gives 62% to Justine Bretnacher, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.