Tennis · M15 Pecs · 27/08, 10:00

Prediction: Lorenzo Bocchi vs Jeremy Gschwendtner

Team pages: Lorenzo Bocchi · Jeremy Gschwendtner

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Lorenzo Bocchi Jeremy Gschwendtner
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Bocchi 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWWLLWL
Jeremy Gschwendtner 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Bocchi 1512 · Jeremy Gschwendtner 1498
Lorenzo BocchiJeremy Gschwendtner
Our model52%48%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Jeremy Gschwendtner makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Lorenzo BocchiJeremy Gschwendtner
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-11.3-1.2
Games (G-P)10.4-9.112.2-11.8
Aces2.31.4
Double faults2.14.8
1st serve %69%59.8%
Break %58.9%54.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Bocchi

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Alex Marti Pujolras
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
16/08 Daniel Salazar
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
11/08 Matthew William Donald
M25 Muttenz
0-2 6-12 L
18/07 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 10-14 L
17/07 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Matic Hribar
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Glib Sekachov
M15 Nova Gorica
1-0 6-3 W
06/07 Gonzalo Villanueva
Challenger Trieste · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
05/07 Lorenzo Berto
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
03/07 Andrej Martin
M15 Umag · ~Clay
1-2 15-15 L

Jeremy Gschwendtner

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Arad
1-2 16-17 L
12/08 Thomas Drayton
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-6 W
06/08 Gregor Hausberger
M15 Bielsko Biala
1-2 14-17 L
04/08 Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Bielsko Biala
2-1 17-16 W
15/07 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Nova Gorica
1-2 12-13 L
09/07 Lorenzo Balducci
M15 Lodz
0-2 4-12 L
08/07 Oliwier Sterniczuk
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
1-2 16-18 L
24/06 Jeremy Schifris
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/06 Sebastian Gima
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-1 7-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Bocchi vs Jeremy Gschwendtner?

Our model gives 63% to Lorenzo Bocchi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.