Tennis · M15 Vienna · 27/08, 13:00
Prediction: Matthias Ujvary vs Lorenzo Rottoli
Team pages: Matthias Ujvary · Lorenzo Rottoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthias Ujvary
Lorenzo Rottoli
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matthias Ujvary
8-2 (W-L)
Lorenzo Rottoli
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthias Ujvary 1557 · Lorenzo Rottoli 1471
| Matthias Ujvary | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthias Ujvary (rating 1557 vs 1471).
- Matthias Ujvary is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matthias Ujvary | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.8 | 12.1-12.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthias Ujvary
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Noel Larwig M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Facundo Yunis M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Peter Makk M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Karol Filar M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Massimo Pizzigoni M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Peter Sallay M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Ziga Sesko M15 Wels |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Niklas Waldner M15 Wels |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Wels |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Fano |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 27/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Dillon Beckles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthias Ujvary vs Lorenzo Rottoli?
Our model gives 53% to Lorenzo Rottoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.