Tennis · M15 Vienna · 28/08, 10:00
Prediction: Giovanni Oradini vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Giovanni Oradini · Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Oradini
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Oradini
7-3 (W-L)
Pavlos Tsitsipas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Oradini 1519 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1527
| Giovanni Oradini | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Giovanni Oradini | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8 | 12.8-12.4 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Oradini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Patrick Jozwicki M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Federico Bove M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Matteo Sciahbasi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Matyas Kozlovsky M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Dino Molokova Ferreira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Arda Azkara M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 04/08 | Dominik Palan M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Roan Jones M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James McGloughlin M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Oradini vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 67% to Giovanni Oradini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.