Tennis · M15 Vienna · 28/08, 11:30

Prediction: Andrej Martin vs Lorenzo Rottoli

Team pages: Andrej Martin · Lorenzo Rottoli

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Andrej Martin Lorenzo Rottoli
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Andrej Martin 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLWL
Lorenzo Rottoli 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrej Martin 1509 · Lorenzo Rottoli 1472
Andrej MartinLorenzo Rottoli
Our model55%45%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Andrej MartinLorenzo Rottoli
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11-1.5
Games (G-P)10.7-10.312.2-13.2
Aces1.91.9
Double faults3.63.4
1st serve %64.8%63.5%
Break %41%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrej Martin

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Leyton Rivera
M15 Vienna
2-1 12-6 W
25/08 Benedikt Szerencsits
M15 Vienna
2-0 12-7 W
18/08 Filip Cristian Jianu
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
17/08 Javier Barranco Cosano
Challenger Prague · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
16/08 Boris Arias
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
27/07 Alec Beckley
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-1 15-17 W
26/07 Tommy Luxa
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
25/07 Mathys Erhard
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 7-13 L
24/07 Marat Sharipov
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 13-9 W

Lorenzo Rottoli

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Matthias Ujvary
M15 Vienna
2-0 13-8 W
22/08 Samuele Seghetti
M25 Lesa
0-2 7-13 L
19/08 Alessandro Spadola
M25 Lesa
2-1 15-6 W
05/08 Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Fano
0-2 7-13 L
04/08 Alessandro Spadola
M25 Fano
2-1 19-16 W
15/07 Daniele Rapagnetta
M15 Gubbio
0-2 7-13 L
05/07 Oleg Prihodko
Challenger Trieste · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
01/07 Johan Nikles
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
1-2 17-20 L
27/06 Yassine Dlimi
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
26/06 Massimo Giunta
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-1 14-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrej Martin vs Lorenzo Rottoli?

Our model gives 65% to Andrej Martin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.