Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 28/08, 21:30
Prediction: Sue Yan Tan vs Tricia Mar
Team pages: Sue Yan Tan · Tricia Mar
Prediction summary
Winner
Sue Yan Tan
Tricia Mar
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sue Yan Tan
5-5 (W-L)
Tricia Mar
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sue Yan Tan 1508 · Tricia Mar 1450
| Sue Yan Tan | Tricia Mar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sue Yan Tan (rating 1508 vs 1450).
- Note: Tricia Mar makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Sue Yan Tan | Tricia Mar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.6 | 8.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 52.9% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sue Yan Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Kelsey Phillips UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Tianmei Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Abigail Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Mika Ikemori UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Tricia Mar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Kelsey Phillips UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Tallia Harper UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Natalie Outcalt UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Gala Arangio UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Sophia Dumitrascu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sue Yan Tan vs Tricia Mar?
Our model gives 78% to Sue Yan Tan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.