Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 29/08, 03:30
Prediction: Sage Bergeson vs Ines Leon
Team pages: Sage Bergeson · Ines Leon
Prediction summary
Winner
Sage Bergeson
Ines Leon
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sage Bergeson
5-5 (W-L)
Ines Leon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sage Bergeson 1524 · Ines Leon 1488
| Sage Bergeson | Ines Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ines Leon makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Sage Bergeson | Ines Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.1 | 8.8-10 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 64% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sage Bergeson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Polina Marakhtanova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Kiana Smith UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Amy Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Olivia Center UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Tia Messerli UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Mila Mulready UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Ines Leon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Kiana Smith UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Amy Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Polina Marakhtanova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Amelie Brooks W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Iva Ivanova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Romane Longueville W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Sasha Zhan Choulet W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/11 | Lucie Pawlak ITF W15 Torello · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Kate Mansfield ITF W50 Baza |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Elizabeth Jurna ITF W50 Baza |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sage Bergeson vs Ines Leon?
Our model gives 61% to Sage Bergeson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.