Tennis · M15 Vienna · 27/08, 10:00

Prediction: Jonas Gundacker vs Pavlos Tsitsipas

Team pages: Jonas Gundacker · Pavlos Tsitsipas

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Jonas Gundacker Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Jonas Gundacker 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLLW
Pavlos Tsitsipas 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonas Gundacker 1584 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1501
Jonas GundackerPavlos Tsitsipas
Our model62%38%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jonas Gundacker (rating 1584 vs 1501).
  • Jonas Gundacker is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Jonas GundackerPavlos Tsitsipas
Win %80%50%
Win % · Clay 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81.3-1.2
Games (G-P)12.2-9.612.7-12.9
Aces2.55.8
Double faults0.65.3
1st serve %66.1%72.5%
Break %48%44.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jonas Gundacker

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Vienna
2-0 13-9 W
23/08 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 4-12 L
22/08 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-1 14-9 W
21/08 Frederic Schlossmann
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-1 18-11 W
20/08 Samuele Pieri
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-1 14-11 W
19/08 Jan Facek
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-0 13-10 W
18/08 Mattias Pisanu
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-0 12-4 W
30/07 Iiro Vasa
M15 Wels
0-2 10-14 L
29/07 Michal Novansky
M15 Wels
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Stepan Mruzek
M15 Wels
2-1 12-10 W

Pavlos Tsitsipas

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Matyas Kozlovsky
M15 Vienna
2-1 13-11 W
20/08 Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 12-14 L
19/08 Dino Molokova Ferreira
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-9 W
11/08 Arda Azkara
M15 Turku
0-2 4-12 L
06/08 Benjamin Pietri
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
05/08 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
04/08 Dominik Palan
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
30/07 Roan Jones
M15 Dublin
1-2 13-16 L
28/07 James McGloughlin
M15 Dublin
2-0 12-7 W
17/07 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 14-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonas Gundacker vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?

Our model gives 60% to Jonas Gundacker, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.