Tennis · M15 Cap d'Agde · 27/08, 10:00

Prediction: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka

Team pages: Oscar Jose Gutierrez · Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Oscar Jose Gutierrez Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Jose Gutierrez 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLWL
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1461 · Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka 1486
Oscar Jose GutierrezFerdinand Livet Novkirichka
Our model46%54%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Oscar Jose GutierrezFerdinand Livet Novkirichka
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 20% (5) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10.7-11.710.4-10.3
Aces1.31.9
Double faults3.62.1
1st serve %61.1%58.7%
Break %34.8%36.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Carlos Sanchez Jover
M25 Santander
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Ivan Iutkin
M25 Santander
2-1 18-12 W
09/08 Tom Zeuch
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
02/08 Marko Topo
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
24/07 Pedro Rodenas
M25 Denia
0-2 7-12 L
23/07 Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Denia
2-1 18-12 W
22/07 Sergio Planella Hernandez
M25 Denia
2-1 13-11 W
12/07 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
05/07 Carles Hernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
04/07 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Andrea Baudel
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 15-13 W
06/08 Peter Makk
M15 Poprad
0-2 7-12 L
04/08 Matas Vasiliauskas
M15 Poprad
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Valentin Faure
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-5 W
26/05 Alexandre Reco
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
1-2 15-17 L
12/05 Nik Mikovic
M15 Prijedor · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
06/05 Yaroslav Demin
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
04/05 Oriol Font
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
23/04 Daniel Rincon
M25 Angers · ~Clay
1-2 9-16 L
21/04 Charles Bertimon
M25 Angers · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka?

Our model gives 55% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.