Tennis · M15 Cap d'Agde · 28/08, 09:30
Prediction: Maxime Chazal vs Liam Branger
Team pages: Maxime Chazal · Liam Branger
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime Chazal
Liam Branger
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Chazal
8-2 (W-L)
Liam Branger
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Chazal 1583 · Liam Branger 1478
| Maxime Chazal | Liam Branger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Chazal (rating 1583 vs 1478).
- Maxime Chazal is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maxime Chazal | Liam Branger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.7 | 12.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 49% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Filip Malis M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | David Fix M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Tim Hammes M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Liam Branger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Arthur Nagel M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Timofey Stepanov M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/04 | Robin Bertrand M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 16/04 | Luca Potenza M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Chazal vs Liam Branger?
Our model gives 75% to Maxime Chazal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.